Day 011 - 12 Jul 94 - Page 17


     
     1
              When this happens at the primary height of the ozone, it
     2        is possible to get almost complete destruction of the
              ozone at a particular altitude above the earth.
     3
         Q.   That has been going on for a number of years in an
     4        observable way, has it not?
              A.  Yes, the first definitive identification of the
     5        destruction process was made by Farman's Group of the
              British Antarctic Survey, who had been making spot
     6        measurements in Antarctica for a very long period of time.
 
     7   Q.   Since about 1956?
              A.  Yes.
     8
         Q.   The question I need you to answer, if you can, is this:
     9        When was it first suspected that CFCs might be making a
              contribution to this undesirable phenomenon?
    10        A.  Well, the first postulation was the Rowland and Molina
              postulation which is 1974.
    11
         Q.   How did matters proceed thereafter, so far as the
    12        identification of both of the culprit and the means by
              which it did its work?  How did it proceed from there from
    13        about 1974?  Was this a matter of discussion amongst the
              scientific community?
    14        A.  It was a considerable matter of discussion.
              Basically, the answer was not arrived at until the 1980s,
    15        when people actually flew aircraft into the Antarctic
              clouds and actually managed to detect some of the
    16        chemicals which were believed to be doing the damage,
              particularly chlorine monoxide.
    17
              Subsequently, satellite observations have been made,
    18        particularly by an instrument called the microwave limb
              sounder, which is still operating at the moment, which has
    19        allowed simultaneous measurements to be made of both the
              hole in the ozone and the concentration of the chlorine
    20        monoxide in both the Arctic and Antarctic regions.  In
              fact, although the first postulate was 1974, the hard
    21        evidence has really only been available or has been
              accumulated over about the last six or seven years.
    22
         Q.   What is the United Kingdom Stratospheric Ozone Review
    23        Group?
              A.  The United Kingdom Stratospheric Ozone Review Group
    24        was a review group of scientists -- it is a mixture of
              government and university establishments which were set up
    25        by the United Kingdom Government to advise it on the
              potential danger ---- 
    26 
         MR. JUSTICE BELL:  Just pause a moment, please? 
    27
         MR. RAMPTON:  You were saying, Professor Duxbury, the
    28        Stratospheric Ozone Review Group, may I call it SORG for
              short?
    29        A.  Yes.
 
    30   Q.  - is composed of a mixture of government and independent
              scientists?

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