Day 030 - 03 Oct 94 - Page 23


     
     1        by government.  I would say the first major government
     2        statement made in the States on the subject, including
     3        statements on diet and cancer, were the Surgeon General's
     4        report on nutrition and health, which came out in 1988.
     5
     6        I should explain the Surgeon General in the States is the
     7        exact equivalent of our chief medical officer in that he
     8        is appointed usually from outside government.  He would be
     9        an eminent medical person who is appointed to serve
    10        government for a term and issues reports, exactly as the
    11        CMO does in this country.
    12
    13        So to the best -- no, I am confident in saying that the
    14        first government statement on nutrition and health, which
    15        included conclusive statements about diet and cancer, was
    16        1988 in the States.  There may have been one before, but
    17        I think that was the first major report.
    18
    19   Q.   If the US government makes recommendations, what are they
    20        saying about the strength of the evidence?
    21        A.  Well, again this goes back to a remark I made about
    22        testimony of individual experts.  I do not here want to
    23        presume on the court because I am certainly not a lawyer,
    24        but it is relevant to say that what is meant by proof in
    25        the life of biological sciences, like nutrition, is
    26        essentially the same as what is meant by proof in a court
    27        of law.  So, of course, as the court knows, in a civil
    28        case you will decide on the balance of probability, which,
    29        in a medical context, is rather like what a general
    30        practitioner does faced with a patient.
    31
    32        In public health generally, the standard of proof required
    33        is similar to a criminal case, which is to say proof
    34        beyond reasonable doubt.  The point I am making is that in
    35        the biological sciences, which is what we are talking
    36        about here, you cannot get anything better than proof
    37        beyond reasonable doubt.  This point of the parallel
    38        between what the term "proof" means in the biological
    39        sciences, like nutrition and public health, and what it
    40        means in a court of law has actually been made itself in
    41        expert reports from time to time.
    42
    43   Q.   So when the ----?
    44        A.  The point, if I might explain, is that this allows for
    45        the fact that there is always liable to be contrary
    46        evidence, but it would be judged that evidence did not
    47        change either the balance of probability or the proof
    48        beyond reasonable doubt.  Again if I might ----
    49
    50   Q.   Go on. 
    51        A.  There is a particular point which bears on something I 
    52        said in my statement, which is that generally speaking, 
    53        although there are exceptions to this, if members of an
    54        expert committee are concerned to make recommendations not
    55        just for their peers or not just for further research, but
    56        actually public health recommendations, generally speaking
    57        they would regard the proof to be beyond reasonable
    58        doubt.  But there are exceptions to that.
    59
    60        Generally, the exceptions would be in the first reports

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