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<text id=93TT1557>
<title>
Apr. 26, 1993: Who Was Left Behind?
</title>
<history>
TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1993
Apr. 26, 1993 The Truth about Dinosaurs
</history>
<article>
<source>Time Magazine</source>
<hdr>
VIETNAM, Page 39
Who Was Left Behind?
</hdr>
<body>
<p>A newly discovered document fuels the argument over the fate
of American POWs
</p>
<p>By STANLEY W. CLOUD/WASHINGTON--With reporting by Sam Allis/
Boston and Jay Peterzell/Washington
</p>
<p> Major wars, from the Peloponnesus to the Persian Gulf,
are fought and refought in the minds of scholars and military
buffs long after the bones of the soldiers who did the real
fighting have turned to dust. So it is likely to be--and then
some--with the Vietnam War. Last week, for instance, on the
eve of a crucial U.S. mission to Vietnam, a Harvard researcher
disclosed parts of a document indicating that Hanoi has lied
repeatedly about the number of American prisoners captured
during the war. If the document proves to be accurate, its
contents could destroy any chance of normalization between the
U.S. and Vietnam in the foreseeable future.
</p>
<p> The document purports to be a translation (from Vietnamese
to Russian to English) of a report, dated September 1972, by
North Vietnamese General Tran Van Quang. Unearthed last January
by researcher Stephen J. Morris in the Communist Party archives
in Moscow, the document asserts that Vietnam at that time was
holding 1,205 American POWs. Quang said the Americans were in 11
prisons scattered around North Vietnam. The number of prisons
had been increased from four to 11, he said, so that the POWs
could be dispersed following a failed U.S. raid on the Son Tay
prison in November 1970.
</p>
<p> The most significant item in the Quang report is the
assertion that there were 1,205 American POWs in captivity that
September. Six months later, Hanoi released 591 POWs, insisting
they were the only prisoners alive at that time. If that was
true and if the Quang report is accurate, more than 600 POWs
must have died or been killed between the fall of 1972 and April
1, 1973.
</p>
<p> When news of the report's discovery broke last week,
several old Vietnam hands, including former Secretary of State
Henry Kissinger and former National Security Adviser Zbigniew
Brzezinski, said they were impressed with its apparent
authenticity. Brzezinski went even further, publicly speculating
that the Vietnamese were guilty of a massacre similar to the
infamous execution of 4,500 Polish officers by the Soviet secret
police in the Katyn Forest in 1940. Said Delores Apodaca Alfond,
president of the National Alliance of Families, an organization
that has long accused both Washington and Hanoi of duplicity on
the POW-MIA issue: "Finally, we've found the smoking gun. It all
seems to be falling into place now."
</p>
<p> Morris, whose skepticism about Vietnamese intentions
hardly makes him an enthusiastic supporter of normalization, has
legitimate academic credentials. "I know it's an authentic
document," insists Morris, who reads Russian and is a research
associate at the Harvard Center for International Affairs.
"These files were not for anyone else to read except the
Communist Party of the Soviet Union." Experts in the Pentagon
and Congress remain skeptical. "We think it's an authentic
document," says a Pentagon official involved in POW affairs,
"but we have a lot of questions about the data in it." Defense
Intelligence Agency analysts note a certain informality in the
text, suggesting it might actually be a transcription of an oral
briefing by General Quang.
</p>
<p> That could explain some of the more obvious errors,
including inaccurate descriptions of the North Vietnamese
military-prison system and some badly garbled American names
that do not correspond to the names of any U.S. MIAs. Indeed,
a covering letter on the document indicates that Quang, who at
the time was commander of the 4th Military Region in central
South Vietnam, was reporting to his superiors on the success of
his mission. He emphasized his plans for Operation Ba Bo, a
program of "extermination" of South Vietnamese officials. In
this context, Pentagon and congressional experts say, Quang may
have engaged in the military briefer's time-honored tendency
toward overstatement and, like other North Vietnamese officials,
may have included non-American members of various CIA-run
commando teams in his accounting of captured "Americans."
</p>
<p> Unless non-Americans are included, the analysts say, it is
not possible to come up with a total of 1,205 American
candidates for POW status. Apart from MIAs who the Pentagon is
all but certain died in combat, there are only 135 so-called
discrepancy cases today. After analyzing the Quang report,
Robert Sheetz, director of the Defense Intelligence Agency's POW
office, wrote in an internal Pentagon memo that the "DIA
believes the number 1,205 could be an accurate accounting of
total prisoners held" if foreigners working as U.S. agents are
included. But, Sheetz added in his memo, "the numbers cannot be
accurate if discussing only U.S. POWs."
</p>
<p> Until last week, the Clinton Administration was moving
with all deliberate speed toward normalizing relations with
Vietnam and lifting the U.S. trade embargo. Retired General John
Vessey, who has served the three successive Administrations in
POW-MIA discussions with Hanoi, departed for Vietnam last week.
His mission had been to assess whether the POW-MIA dispute had
been sufficiently resolved to allow normalization to proceed.
Now Vessey must also try to solve the mystery of the Quang
report. And no matter what Vessey concludes, there is a good
chance that many Americans, never keen about normalization in
the first place, will decide that their old enemies can just
stew a while longer.
</p>
</body>
</article>
</text>