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<text id=92TT1963>
<title>
Aug. 31, 1992: You Fly, You Die
</title>
<history>
TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1992
Aug. 31, 1992 Woody Allen: Cries and Whispers
</history>
<article>
<source>Time Magazine</source>
<hdr>
THE WEEK, Page 16
WORLD
You Fly, You Die
</hdr><body>
<p>A plan to protect Shi`ites could put a squeeze on Iraq's Saddam
</p>
<p> They will not--probably cannot--do it for Slavic Muslims
in Bosnia. But the U.S. and its European allies are prepared to
give air protection to Shi`ite Muslims in Iraq. The U.S., France
and Britain, having mobilized a force of 200 aircraft and 19
navy ships, have agreed to declare a "no-fly zone" across the
southern third of the country. The force is to fly
reconnaissance missions over a marshy region where Western
officials say Saddam Hussein pursues a policy of genocide
against opponents of his regime. The goal will be to close the
sky to Iraqi flights. "We're going to monitor and watch what
he's doing there," said U.S. National Security Adviser Brent
Scowcroft, and that means "he has to stop flying."
</p>
<p> The allied action was prompted by evidence that 70 Iraqi
combat aircraft were being used to attack Shi`ite villages and
rebel camps in the swamps and islands in the Basra region, where
the Tigris and Euphrates rivers empty into the gulf. That
violates a U.N. resolution, passed after the Gulf War,
prohibiting Saddam's "repression" of his own people. A similar
protection zone has been in effect in northern Kurdish regions
since April 1991.
</p>
<p> Military experts warn that limited reconnaissance missions
can lead to air and ground combat. "The air force will argue
that to remove the risk of losses, they would like to take out
some if not all of the Iraqi air defenses again," says Colonel
Andrew Duncan of the International Institute for Strategic
Studies in London. "Then you're on the slippery slope to
escalation." But the allies may have concluded that their best
tactic is to squeeze Saddam between rebellious Kurds to the
north and hostile Shi`ites to the south.
</p>
</body></article>
</text>