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1992-08-28
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BUSINESS, Page 57WORLD OF BUSINESSAdventure in Equities
By Robert Ball
Most investors know that 1991 was a good year on Wall
Street. Not so many know that, compared with a lot of other
equity markets, Wall Street was an also-ran. Despite the
headlines about New York's all-time record highs in January, the
same is proving to be true so far this year.
This simply underlines how many games there now are in
town. New York, London and Tokyo may be the heavyweights, but
there is action in Thailand, Jordan and Chile as well.
Datastream International, a company that provides market data,
tracks 40 stock markets worldwide. Brokerage houses now need the
horizons of travel agents to satisfy a clientele no longer
content to stay at home. Much treasure lies buried on distant
shores, in places that used to show up only in holiday brochures
or travelogues.
According to a study by Morgan Stanley Capital
International, the 1991 world champions came from Latin America.
The markets in Argentina, Mexico and Chile were up 403%, 120%
and 106%, respectively, after converting local currency gains
into dollars. (Brazil, an even higher flyer, lost out on
conversion: the cruzeiro sank about as fast as the market rose.)
But it wasn't just a Latin carnival. The Philippine stock market
trebled Wall Street's 26% gain, Hong Kong nearly doubled it, and
Australia matched it.
Exotic equity markets, called fringe markets or emerging
markets in the securities trade, are continuing their surge in
1992. Five weeks into the year, all the top 15 in Datastream's
rankings are Third World countries, except Taiwan, South Korea,
Greece, Hong Kong and Finland, and these 15 leading performers
include such surprises as Colombia, India, Indonesia and
Nigeria. The U.S. languishes in 21st place, among such other
slugabeds as the major European countries. Japan, of course, is
famously down, bumping the bottom of the performance standings.
This doesn't mean that investors should rush to put their
nest eggs into Zimbabwean stocks. The risk to a hard-currency
investor of losing on conversion what has been won in local
currency is only one of the hazards. All markets fluctuate, but
small exotic markets, often thin and subject to political
instability, are apt to fluctuate more. Nonetheless,
sophisticated investors and their brokers cannot ignore the
opportunities provided by the extraordinary diversity of market
performance. Nowadays there is always money to be made somewhere
in the world.
To be sure, many of these stock markets have been around
for some time, but until recently obstacles to investing in
them were too daunting for most players. Now investors nearly
everywhere can choose from a smorgasbord of national and
regional equity funds run by people who can claim to know what
they are doing. Martin H. Paling, chief investment strategist
for London stockbrokers James Casays, "Equity investors are
clearly becoming more adventurous. For example, the large rises
in markets in Latin America reflect more than domestic
interest."
Picking individual stocks in faraway places is not for the
fainthearted, but with exotic stocks packaged in funds, an
investor undeterred by transaction costs can even daydream of
multiplying his gains by surfing around the world, taking a
short, profitable ride on each cresting wave. All he needs is
a globe, a pin and some strong hunches. In the '90s even distant
neighbors have no trouble keeping up with the Dow Joneses.