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- THE WEEK, Page 12NATIONThe Guns of August Echo Once Again
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- Bosnia and Iraq test Bush's vision of a new world order
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- In recent years, with a curious consistency, the scheduled
- indolence of August has been interrupted by the sound of gunfire
- -- in Kuwait, in the failed Moscow coup, in half a dozen hot
- spots. As he is wont to point out, George Bush is the man who
- receives the midnight phone calls when such crises erupt
- overseas and who has "the guts" to act. It is August, and there
- are two dangerous disasters blazing on the horizon. Yet Bush,
- the foreign policy President, is moving most cautiously to deal
- with them.
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- Iraq's government, more defiant than ever last week, vowed
- to bar U.N. inspectors from all its ministries. Asked if his
- patience with Saddam Hussein is wearing thin, Bush said, "I've
- been fed up with him for a long time." From the warring states
- of the former Yugoslavia, images of inhuman conditions in
- detention camps flashed to television screens around the world,
- provoking disgust and anger.
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- Bush has the option to use American military power in both
- places and has threatened to do so. Some of his political
- friends and foes urge him to act forcefully now, especially in
- Yugoslavia's civil war. He has suggested that he would consider
- the use of U.S. air and naval forces to safeguard relief
- shipments into Bosnia, but resists calls to do more.
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- As the guns of this particular August are loaded and
- trained, there is an extra twist for the President. He must make
- his command decisions in the midst of a re-election campaign.
- Democratic presidential candidate Bill Clinton is free to
- discuss, as he did last week, the use of military force "against
- the Serbs to try to restore the basic conditions of humanity."
- Yet if Bush orders the armed forces into action, he will be
- accused of using them cynically to rally the nation behind him.
- Discontented American voters, demanding first priority for
- domestic problems, will search suspiciously for political
- motives in his every foreign move.
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- But Bush sets more historic goals for himself than
- re-election. He has declared the U.S. to be the world's only
- superpower and outlined his concept of a new world order under
- its aegis. The essence of that order was to be the rule of law
- and collective action to preserve international security and
- roll back aggressors, as in Operation Desert Storm.
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- Though Iraq remains high on the August agenda, Yugoslavia,
- with its millions of innocent victims displayed daily in the
- media, has become Issue No. 1. Rarely is a nation presented with
- a clear, unmoral issue to decide. Washington faces one now: to
- act or not to act to end Serbian aggression and the human agony
- it is inflicting. This question is uncluttered by direct
- American national interests, because the U.S. has none in
- Yugoslavia. If Bush decides to risk American lives in any form
- of military action there, it will be only because the U.S.
- accepts a moral obligation to rescue suffering innocents and to
- enforce a new world order.
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- A moral obligation of that kind, however, is by nature
- universal and would have to be applied across the board.
- Military intervention cannot be restricted to what U.N.
- Secretary-General Boutros Boutros-Ghali crudely referred to as
- a "rich man's war." It logically implies that U.N. intervention
- in Eastern Europe should be matched by similar action in other
- catastrophic conflicts: in Somalia, Ethiopia, Burundi, Burma and
- elsewhere. By the same token, this new world cannot be managed
- unilaterally by the U.S. but must instead work from the consent
- of all major powers around the globe. It would have to be
- supported by their armies and their treasuries.
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- Obviously, no such agreement exists. The U.S. appears as
- reluctant as its NATO allies to accept the case for military
- involvement in Yugoslavia. It can lead the U.N. into a world
- police role only if Americans first have a debate and reach a
- national consensus. In fact, by providing a forum for such a
- debate, the presidential campaign may be a blessing in disguise.
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