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057.PFPICKS2.DOC
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1990-08-28
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LICENSE
PRO Football Picks is copyright (C) 1990 by ALC Software, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
PRO Football Picks (C) is NEITHER public domain software NOR free software.
Non-registered users are granted a limited license to use PRO Football Picks
(C) on a trial basis to determine whether PRO Football Picks (C) will meet
their needs. Any further use of PRO Football Picks (C) requires registration.
Use of non-registered copies of PRO Football Picks (C) by any person,
business, or corporation or other entity is strictly forbidden.
The following rules also apply:
No user may modify PRO Football Picks (C) or its related data files in
any way.
PRO Football Picks (C) must be copied in unmodified form, complete with
this license and documentation.
No fee (greater than $9.00), charge or other compensation may be received
for the distribution.
PRO Football Picks (C) may not be distributed with any other product
without the express written consent of ALC Software.
WARRANTY
The author specifically disclaims all warranties, expressed or implied,
including but not limited to implied warranties of merchantability and
fitness for a particular purpose with respect to defects in the diskette and
documentation. In no event shall the author be liable for any loss of profit
or any other commercial damage, including but not limited to special,
incidental, consequential or other damages.
ORDERING / REGISTRATION INFORMATION
Individual PRO Football Picks (C) registration licenses you to use this
product on a single computer. It costs $25 to register and receive the most
recent REGISTERED copy and printed documentation. PLEASE SPECIFY 5 1/4" OR
3 1/2" DISKS. See Appendix A for planned future enhancements.
Send all registrations to: ALC Software
P.O. Box # 8481
New York, New York 10116-4654
- 1 -
USING THE PROGRAM
PRO Football Picks (PFP) was written in BASIC and designed purely for
entertainment purposes and not with the intent to aid in breaking of any
local or federal laws. The author does love the game of football. The
program is designed to run without instructions. However, there are
certain prerequisites to the proper running of PFP.
Files Included with PRO Football Picks (C) - Version 2.0:
PFPICKS2.EXE The PRO Football Picks main program Version 2.0. This
is the non-registered version.
FOOTBALL.DAT All current year data for teams is stored in this
file. You must have this file present in the same
directory or on the same disk for PFP to function
properly.
SCHEDULE.90 Includes the schedule for the 1990 football season.
You must have this file present in the same directory
or on the same disk for PFP to function properly.
1989FOOT.DAT Includes the pertinent final statistics for the 1989
football season. You must have this file present in
the same directory or on the same disk for PFP to
function properly.
PFPICKS2.DOC PRO Football Picks documentation. (This file!)
GENERAL INSTRUCTIONS
You can exit PFP at any time during the program by pressing the F10 key.
DO NOT press CTRL-BREAK or CTRL-ALT-DELETE to "get out" of the program for
you will lose any data entered during that session. ALWAYS USE F10.
PFP is a football handicapping program designed to pick winning teams taking
into account the "Betting Spread" (points). The additional data needed to
properly use the program is usually published in the daily newspapers. The
required statistics have been found by the author in New York Newsday as well
as USA Today. One new publication, The National Sports Daily newspaper will
also probably have the information.
PFP has been used for the 1986 - 1989 football seasons with varied success.
In 1986, PFP picked correctly an amazing 73% of the teams it determined to
be a "play" (defined later). In 1987, the program picked 43% correctly and
picked correctly 57% of the time in 1988. In the 1989 season PFP identified
the correct team to bet 62% of the time. PFP will also provide useful
statistical information based on the data provided. For those who prefer
under / over betting, the probable points scored is also provided.
- 2 -
The names of the 28 National Football League teams are referred to in the
program as follows:
49ERS - San Francisco 49er's BEARS - Chicago Bears
COLTS - Indianapolis Colts BRONCOS - Denver Broncos
EAGLES - Philadelphia Eagles FALCONS - Atlanta Falcons
GIANTS - New York Giants CARDS - Phoenix Cardinals
BENGALS - Cincinnati Bengals JETS - New York Jets
RAMS - Los Angeles Rams LIONS - Detroit Lions
DOLPHINS - Miami Dolphins PATRIOTS - New England Patriots
OILERS - Houston Oilers PACKERS - Green Bay Packers
COWBOYS - Dallas Cowboys RAIDERS - Los Angeles Raiders
SEAHAWKS - Seattle Seahawks BUCS - Tampa Bay Buckeneers
BROWNS - Cleveland Browns VIKINGS - Minnesota Vikings
REDSKINS - Washington Redskins BILLS - Buffalo Bills
STEELERS - Pittsburgh Steelers CHARGERS - San Diego Chargers
SAINTS - New Orleans Saints CHIEFS - Kansas City Chiefs
To run PFP, four files are required: PFPICKS2.EXE, FOOTBALL.DAT,
1989FOOT.DAT and SCHEDULE.90. FOOTBALL.DAT is the file used to store the
data for the current football season. 1989FOOT.DAT is a file containing the
final statistics for the 1989 football season. SCHEDULE.90 holds the
entire 1990 football season schedule. All four files must be on the
same disk or in the same directory (on a hard disk) for the program to
function properly.
NOTE: In this, the non-registered version of PRO Football Picks, all
reports have been greatly simplified and some have been
eliminated. When pressing the key required to print, you will
get the equivalent of pressing the Print Screen key(s) on your
keyboard. The registered version contains attractively formatted,
detailed reports.
- 3 -
CHANGES IN THE 1990 FOOTBALL SEASON AND PFP
PFP has been modified to be compatible with all the changes made for the
1990 season. The two major changes made this year are as follows:
First, the 16 game regular season will be played over 17 weeks with each
team having one open week when they do not play. The open weekends in 1990
and the teams that are off that week are as follows:
Week #4 - 49ERS, RAMS, SAINTS, FALCONS
Week #5 - GIANTS, EAGLES, REDSKINS, CARDS
Week #6 - BILLS, COLTS, DOLPHINS, PATRIOTS
Week #7 - VIKINGS, PACKERS, LIONS, BEARS
Week #8 - BRONCOS, CHIEFS, RAIDERS, SEAHAWKS
Week #10 - BROWNS, OILERS, STEELERS, BENGALS
Week #14 - JETS, COWBOYS, BUCS, CHARGERS
This means that after the third week, it is possible that teams playing
one another, will have played a different number of games. This is
considered by PFP in its analysis.
Secondly, the post season championship playoff series has been expanded by
the addition of two wild card teams. This means there will be 12 teams in
the playoffs, instead of ten.
BEGINNING PFP
PFP can be run from a floppy diskette or a hard drive. To run PFP, make the
drive (or directory) the current drive (or directory) on your computer and
type PFP. At the very beginning of the program, a musical "Charge!" tune
will be played. If you prefer not to hear the tune, start PFP as follows:
PFP /S. The /S switch will silence the tune.
At the onset of PFP you will be asked to enter this Sunday's date (the date
most of the games will be played). PFP offers a chart of four dates,
and its corresponding week number, close to the current one and suggests the
most probable date. If this is the correct date, just press enter. If not,
change the date and press enter.
You will then be asked the week of football that is being played. PFP is
looking for what week of the football season the date represents. For the
1990 season, 09/09/90 would represent week number 1, 09/16/90 would represent
week number 2, 09/23/90 would represent week number 3, etc..
The Monday following the week of football is still considered as part of the
previous week. It is important to keep the week number the same as the
previous week WHEN RUNNING PFP ON MONDAY. For example, Monday, September 10,
1990 is still considered week number 1. This is done because Monday Nights
game is still part of previous Sunday's games and PFP treats it that way.
THE CORRECT WEEK NUMBER IS VERY IMPORTANT. It is used throughout the
program as well as for determining statistical averages.
- 4 -
Once the date and week number are confirmed, PFP will remember them for
subsequent running of PFP until the date is changed. This is helpful if you
run the program more than once a week as all you will have to do is hit the
Enter key to use the same date.
NOTE: The pertinent final statistics of the 1989 football season are
included as part of the PFP program files. It is recommended for
the first three to four weeks of the 1990 football season that these
statistics be used in the program to help increase the accuracy of
the prediction given by PFP.
Since PRO Football Picks (C) Version 2.0 will track and record bets made
by the user, it is necessary to know if a vigorish or "vig" will be charged
upon losing bets. For those of you unfamiliar with this term, professional
oddsmakers who take bets (where it is legal) usually charge a percentage if
the bet you make with them is a losing one. This percentage is called
vigorish and is almost always 10%. This is how they make their money.
Should the user be making bets with friends (who usually don't charge a
percentage!) then the vigorish would be set to 0% or even money bets.
Next, PFP will ask if you want to include the previous years final statistics
to your calculations. If you respond "YES" then PFP will automatically add
the 1989 final numbers into its calculations.
PFP MAIN MENU
The PFP main menu is divided into four major sections. Each will be
discussed in length. The sections and corresponding function keys are as
follows:
[F1] Data Entry Section
[F2] Game Selection Section
[F3] Run This Weeks Games
[F4] The Week In Review
When you press the function key corresponding with the section you want to
run, a second menu briefly explaining that section will appear. If you have
pressed the wrong key in error, at that point, press the escape key (Esc) to
return to the Main Menu.
DATA ENTRY SECTION
Upon entering the data entry section, just press the letter of the team for
which you wish to enter data and enter the yardage (or points) asked for.
This is the TOTAL yards (or points) YEAR TO DATE for that specific team.
Repeat this for all teams. If the number in parentheses is correct, it
has either BEEN UPDATED BY PFP (see The Week In Review) or hasn't changed
since last data entry; just press enter to retain that number.
- 5 -
One nice addition to the Data Entry Section is the clock in the lower right
corner of the Data Entry Screen. If you are like the author, you wait until
late Sunday morning to enter the data required to run PFP! The clock is
there to let the user know just how much time is left until opening kickoff!
GAME SELECTION SECTION
In this section, PFP will display the games of the week. The user chooses
the game to analyze. It does not matter what order the games are chosen
in. This allows for the user to run the games in any order he/she desires.
The author usually uses the order printed in the newspaper. PFP will store
the games in the order you specify, making running the program again in the
same week easier. PFP will verify that the game chosen is correct so that
if you had accidently chosen the wrong letter, you can correct this before
continuing.
Throughout the PFP program, the home team is always in all capital letters
and the visiting team is always in lower case letters.
Following team selection, the user will be asked to enter the spread for the
Home team. PFP will accept 1/2 point spreads which should be entered as .5.
(Ex: 7 1/2 point spread should be entered as 7.5) If the Home team were a
7 1/2 point favorite, you would enter the spread as -7.5. If the Home team
were a 7 1/2 point underdog, you would enter the spread as 7.5.
Next is the Home Field Advantage (HFA). This is a totally arbitrary number
of points assigned by the user as an advantage for the home team. This
number can be as high as 10 points but the author has never used any number
higher than 3. Since the professional oddsmakers use many variables when
determining the point spread, this is the opportunity for the user to use
his/her own handicapping experience to influence the analysis by PFP. Many
times, the HFA will be zero. A zero can be entered by just pressing the
Enter key. PFP will verify the HFA before continuing.
Note On Post-Season Play:
In weeks 18 through 21, (the playoffs weeks and the super bowl) PFP will
display the names of all the teams as it does not know what teams will be
in the playoffs. The user will have to choose the VISITING team first.
PFP will know how many games and teams there are playing. The remaining
procedures are exactly the same.
- 6 -
UNDERSTANDING THE ANALYSIS SCREEN
After all information has been entered, PFP will give you its analysis of the
game. On top will be the names of the teams and the game spread entered.
Following will be all of the information entered for each team.
Abbreviations are as follows:
RYF - Rushing Yards For (Offence)
RYA - Rushing Yards Against (Defense)
PYF - Passing Yards For (Offence)
PYA - Passing Yards Against (Defense)
PTF - Points Scored For (Offence)
PTA - Points Scored Against (Defense)
TYF - Total Yards For (Calculated By PFP)
TYA - Total Yards Against (Calculated By PFP)
#WP - Number Of Weeks Played (Supplied By PFP)
HFA - Home Field Advantage (Entered By User)
The number of weeks played (#WP) is the number of weeks that team has played,
year to date, INCLUDING the current week. This number may be different
between teams, because different teams may have open weeks at different times
in the season. (see CHANGES IN THE 1990 FOOTBALL SEASON AND PFP)
Next is an under/over prediction. Under/over, for those who are not familiar
with it, is the sum of the points scored by both teams at the end of the
game. For example, if the final score is 21-14, the under over for that
game is 35 points. If the under/over line is over the number predicted, bet
under. If the under/over line is under the number of points predicted,
bet over. If the numbers are the same, good luck!
The next line will give PFP's estimate of the final score base on a Points
per Yard calculation. Directly under that will be PFP's final score estimate
based on a Sum of the Averages calculation. In a game with a "No Play"
prediction, these scores can be used to determine which team to pick.
In the box to the right of these final score estimates, is PFP's game
prediction. A "No Play" prediction is issued if PFP feels that with the
current spread entered it is "too close to call". A different spread may
yield a different recommendation. PFP usually picks between 9 and 13 picks
per week. It is very rare that all 14 games will be determined a play.
- 7 -
Underneath the final score estimates is the betting section. This section
will be explained in great detail below.
At the bottom of the screen will be five choices. Four are the same as
Version 1.0 of PFP, they are: Press "P" to print the game information as it
appears on the screen. Press "R" to run the same teams again (usually to
change the point spread or HFA). Press "N" to go on to the next game or F10
to quit PFP.
The new choice in version 2.0 of PFP is to press "B" for bet. At this
point, a box will appear with the names of the teams for that game. If you
have made a mistake and do not want to bet, press Esc and choose another
letter. To choose a team, press "1" if you want to bet on the home team and
press "2" to bet on the visiting team. After choosing the team, that team
name will appear in the box with the spread for that team. PFP will then ask
how much you want to bet on that team. You may bet as little as $1 up to
$99,999. This should be is a sufficient betting range for all users! If the
user does not want to bet, but just pick a team as his/her opinion, you may
bet $0 by hitting the enter key.
Once the betting box has disappeared, the current betting information will
be displayed underneath the area where the betting box was. The amount of
your bet, the team you bet on and the amount you have bet this week so far
NOT including the current bet. The number in parenthesis represents the
amount you will have bet this week INCLUDING the current bet. You may
change your bet (or team you would like to bet on) by pressing the "B" key
again BEFORE going on to the next game. PFP will remember the LAST bet
entered for the Week In Review Section.
At the end of running all 14 games, PFP will provide a summary of the games
that were a "play". The spread used in that display will be the last one
entered before continuing on to the next game. The user is given the
option to press "P" to print this screen.
RUN THIS WEEKS GAMES
The spread may change during the week prior to the game. For this reason,
the user may want to run PFP again using a different spread or HFA without
having to re-enter all of the data. It was for this reason the Run
This Weeks Games Section was created. PFP will allow you into the Run This
Weeks Games Section once you have gone through the Game Selection Section
previously that week.
Upon entering the Run This Weeks Games Section, PFP will go right into
the first game. The order of the games will be the order you previously
entered them in. The procedure will be exactly the same as in the Game
Selection Section, however the previous spread will appear in a white box to
the right of PFP's request for the spread. If you want to use the same
spread as in the box, you must ENTER the spread again just as it appears to
the right. If you just hit enter, PFP will assume it is a pick 'em game and
ask for confirmation as a pick 'em game. For the HFA, by hitting enter, you
will use the same HFA as previously entered. That HFA appears in the [ ]
parenthesis before the "?" to enter the HFA.
- 8 -
In the Analysis Screen while runing the Run This Weeks Games Section, bets
will be listed as they were placed when PFP was previously run. A change in
the bet amount will automatically adjust the $ Bet This Week total.
THE WEEK IN REVIEW
PFP assumes that the user will use PFP the program regularly. Upon selecting
the Week In Review Section, if you have not run the Week In Review Section
for more than one week, PFP will warn you that you are reviewing a week other
than the previous one. PFP will still allow you to review that week and
continue to function properly however, if you do receive the warning, you
will know that you have missed at least one week in the Year To Date (YTD)
totals. (explained later)
The Week In Review Section will review the previous weeks games and UPDATE
the YTD information in the Points For and Points Against section of the Data
Entry Section.
Once you are in the Week In Review Section, PFP will show you the names of
the teams in the first game from the previous week. The home team will
always be first and in capital letters, the visiting team will be in lower
case letters. ONLY FINAL SCORES should be entered in the Week In Review
Section.
Underneath the names of the teams will be the users bet, if any, the spread
for the game, as well as PFP's play for the game. (if any) This is followed
by the Vig percentage and a shaded box in "result box" directly underneath
the bet and play line. The box will display the results after each score is
entered.
When the first final score has been entered, PFP will ask for verification
of the score. Press "Y" if they are correct and PFP will analyze the game,
calculate the results and update YTD information. Press "N" and PFP will
again ask you for the FINAL score of each team in the game. The final
choose is "S" for skip. You may skip the game by pressing enter twice
(leaving zeros in the scores) and then pressing "S". This is designed for
the user to review the games before all have been completed. Examples of
this would be Sunday afternoon after the "early" games are over, Sunday
night or Monday afternoon.
Underneath the result box the information is divided into two sections:
1) The left side gives you information on the user. How many games were
bet last week and the total amount of money bet on those games. The
number of correct bets for the past week. The next two lines give you
the information on you profit/loss for the week as well as the
profit/loss year to date.
2) The right side gives you information on PFP. How many picks PFP had last
week and how many games have been reviewed so far (had you run the Week
In Review this week and skipped some games as mentioned above). The
number of correct picks for PFP for the past week as well as the
percentage correct for PFP last week and the percentage correct for PFP
year to date.
- 9 -
Upon answering "Y" at the decision box, PFP will update the user and PFP
information and present the user with a menu of choices on the bottom of the
screen.
The "N" key (or just pressing the enter) will take you to the next game for
game to review. Press the Tab key, and it will display the percentage
correct for the user last week and the percentage correct for the user year
to date. If you prefer this information to be displayed instead of the
dollar amounts, leave this information on the screen and PFP will display
it instead of the dollar information. Pressing Tab again will display the
dollar amounts again. Finally, pressing F10 will exit PFP.
Finally, at the end of the program, you will be asked if you want to print
an OFFICIAL registration form to send for an ENHANCED REGISTERED version of
PFP. The registration is also printed at the end of this documentation. If
you enjoyed using PRO Football Picks, (or made money doing so), please
register. Press "P" at the final screen to print the registration form. If
your printer is not ready for printing when you go to print the registration
form, press Esc to return to the final menu screen. This is the same form
that appears at the end of this documentation.
NOTE: In this, the non-registered version of PRO Football Picks, all
reports have been greatly simplified and some have been
eliminated. When pressing the key required to print, you will
get the equivalent of pressing the Print Screen key(s) on your
keyboard. The registered version contains attractively formatted,
detailed reports.
COMMENTS
We are very interested in your comments on how to improve PRO Football Picks.
If you send us your suggestions and we use them in a revision, we will send
you a free REGISTERED upgrade to that revision when it's issued. (Provided
you register for this version).
NOTE: Please Register - PRO Football Picks (C) is the product of over 390
hours of programming. In the registered version, the reports as
well as many features have been greatly enhanced.
Your registration will help fund future versions and motivate us to
continue to write programs that are useful to the public. Besides,
it's greatly appreciated!
- 10 -
APPENDIX A
Planned future Enhancements:
Individual Team Schedules
Individual Team Vs. Spread Analysis
Individual Team Vs. One Another A