Day 011 - 12 Jul 94 - Page 19


     
     1        A.  No.
 
     2   Q.   The easiest way of dealing with this is to turn to section
              C in that bundle, just to get it out of the way, which is
     3        the SORG report for 1990?
              A.  Yes.
     4
         Q.   Page 12, I do not know how this is arranged, but mine has
     5        a "12" at the bottom left-hand corner under the main
              heading "Predicting Changes in atmospheric composition".
     6        Have you got that, Professor Duxbury?  Page 12 of section
              C?
     7        A.  Well, in this one, yes.  It is the one which has the
              label little 11 at the bottom, "Predicting changes in
     8        atmospheric composition".
 
     9   Q.   That is the heading.  If you turn over the page, the
              chapter heading is "Predicting changes in atmospheric
    10        composition"?
              A.  Yes.
    11
         Q.   On the right-hand side, table 2.1, do you see that?
    12        A.  Yes.
 
    13   Q.   These substances are called generally halocarbons, are
              they?
    14        A.  Yes.
 
    15   Q.   In the right-hand column we see the estimated lifetime?
              A.  Yes.
    16
         Q.   CFC-12 has now gone up from 111 to 120, do you see that?
    17        A.  Yes.
 
    18   Q.   HCFC-22 has a lifetime of roughly 15.3 years, do you see
              that?
    19        A.  Yes.
 
    20   Q.   Which is roughly five per cent as long as -- sorry, 15.3
              years.  If you look at this time the ozone depleting
    21        potential, which is ODP; is that right?
              A.  Yes.
    22
         Q.   Under 1-D*, yes?
    23        A.  Yes.
 
    24   Q.   Which is just a question of where the data comes from, is
              that not right?
    25        A.  No, the 1-D and the 2-D depend on the type of model
              which has been used to do the calculation.  1-D means it 
    26        is a so-called one dimensional model; 2-D means it is a 
              two dimensional model.  If you like, the difference 
    27        between 1-D and 2-D will give you some idea of the model
              accuracy.  You will notice under both models it ends up
    28        with roughly the same ozone depleting potential.
 
    29   Q.   I was just going to draw your attention to that.  HCFC-22
              has an ODP of 0.05 in both columns?
    30        A.  Yes.
 

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