Day 022 - 12 Sep 94 - Page 08


     
     1        this, there is no consistency in the findings of these
     2        studies.  Many studies have failed to demonstrate that
     3        there is a relationship between the dietary factors which
     4        have been implicated in these illnesses and the actual
     5        illnesses themselves.  There is no consistency.
     6
     7   Q.   You mean show no cause and effect?
     8        A.  No.  What I am saying is, there is not even
     9        consistency in the finding of an apparent relationship
    10        between that aspect of the diet and the development of the
    11        cancer.  We have not even got near the question of looking
    12        at cause and effect.  Some studies actually dispute there
    13        is even a relationship between fat intake and, say, colon
    14        cancer or breast cancer.
    15
    16   Q.   Is it not true there have been some studies in relation to
    17        smoking and cancer which have denied there is a link or
    18        any association?
    19        A.  I think some of the studies which were carried out on
    20        cigarette smoking in early days -- well, perhaps
    21        criticised the possibility, but, in fact, there has been
    22        such a consistency of evidence over the last 25 years,
    23        since the original study on British doctors was carried
    24        out, that I do not think there is any anybody in the world
    25        who has any real doubt that there is a direct relationship
    26        between cigarette smoking and lung cancer.
    27
    28   Q.   But is it not true there are, as I was saying, very
    29        respectable organisations that do consider that there is a
    30        link between diet and cancer?
    31        A.  Yes, I have already said this, but what is -- the
    32        problem with diet and cancer is that there is no
    33        consistency.  For something to be accepted as fact there
    34        has to be consistency in the finding and the finding of
    35        the study has to be reproducible, not only by that group
    36        of people carrying out the study, but also by other
    37        groups.  There is no doubt about it in medical research,
    38        if you have a group of enthusiasts, they may find a
    39        particular finding because of their enthusiasm and when a
    40        subsequent group looks at it dispassionately and tries to
    41        reproduce the findings, sometimes they cannot be
    42        reproduced.  For anything to be accepted as medically
    43        proven, you have to have not only consistency of the
    44        findings but it has to be reproducible from study to study
    45        to study.
    46
    47   Q.   You are always likely to get some studies which show
    48        something, though, are you not?
    49        A.  You are indeed.  I accept that.  But here with diet
    50        and cancer we have such an overwhelming, almost 50/50 type 
    51        of situation that some very respected studies and well 
    52        carried out studies, the prospective studies, looking at 
    53        people before they develop the illness, so there is no
    54        bias that can creep in.  They have studied these groups of
    55        people as time has gone on and they have failed to find
    56        this association between diet and cancer.  On the whole,
    57        the studies that have shown a relationship between diet
    58        and cancer are the studies which have looked
    59        retrospectively at people with cancer, and then tried to
    60        find a group of people that match that group and see if

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