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- <title>
- Mar. 12, 1990: Lashed By The Flags Of Freedom
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1990
- Mar. 12, 1990 Soviet Disunion
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- SPECIAL SECTION: THE SOVIET EMPIRE, Page 26
- Lashed By the Flags of Freedom
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>Once a gray monolith, the Soviet Union is collapsing into a
- clamor of independent-minded republics and ethnic groups. What
- Gorbachev does to save the empire will affect not only his
- country but the world
- </p>
- <p>By Bruce W. Nelan
- </p>
- <p> His face flushed with anger, Mikhail Gorbachev sat stiffly
- in the Kremlin's Hall of Meetings as the Supreme Soviet
- thundered through its most tumultuous session yet. For hours
- last week, speaker after speaker denounced the Soviet leader's
- request for sweeping new executive powers. Without using those
- precise words, they accused him of edging back toward Stalinism,
- of reaching for dictatorial rule. Scowling down from the
- tribunal at the offending delegates behind rows of desks, he
- leaned toward the microphone and pointed an accusing finger.
- </p>
- <p> "Calm down, calm down, calm down," he ordered. Those who
- opposed his plan, he said, were "trying to sow mistrust." This
- was no time for "cheap demagoguery." He had contemplated not
- running in the next presidential election, he said, but decided
- that to withdraw now would be cowardly. The national interest
- demanded "quick action on this matter." The chastened
- legislators listened well: they voted 347-24 to pass the bill
- and send it on to the Congress of People's Deputies for final
- approval.
- </p>
- <p> Three days earlier, in the Lithuanian capital of Vilnius,
- a meeting of some of Gorbachev's much more determined opponents
- had added special urgency to his demand for expanded authority.
- As results of local elections flowed into the headquarters of
- Sajudis, the Lithuanian popular front, the architects of the
- independence movement gathered to take stock. The election for
- the republic's parliament had amounted to a referendum on
- secession from the Soviet Union. Backing a candidate in each
- district, Sajudis captured 72 of the 90 seats decided. "If this
- isn't a landslide, what is?" asked Algimantas Cekuolis, a
- Communist Party member endorsed by Sajudis. Predicted Virgilijus
- Cepaitis, secretary of the popular front: "This means we will
- have independence in the spring or summer."
- </p>
- <p> Lenin once referred to the vast, polyglot Russian Empire of
- the Czars as a "prison of nations." Most of those captive
- nations, set loose briefly by the Bolshevik Revolution and the
- aftermath of World War I, were reconquered by the Red Army and
- reforged into the modern Soviet Empire: 15 ethnically diverse
- republics spreading almost 7,000 miles from the Polish border
- to the Sea of Japan.
- </p>
- <p> This immense landmass, so long made immutable and monolithic
- by rule from the Kremlin, is now quaking under the impact of
- Gorbachev's reforms. The Soviet republics are beginning to snap
- the political and economic bonds linking them to the once
- all-powerful center in Moscow. With the Baltic states of
- Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia in the vanguard, some of the
- imprisoned peoples are battering the outside walls and intend
- to leap to freedom. It now seems certain that the center cannot
- hold onto all 15 republics. What was unthinkable only a few
- months ago has now become reality: the largest country in the
- world is on the brink of shrinking. Politics in the U.S.S.R.
- has turned into a race between the republics trying to break out
- and Gorbachev with his determination to build new fences and
- structures to keep them in.
- </p>
- <p> The diminution of the colossus of the East can only ease the
- minds of the nations of Eastern Europe that are slipping out of
- its political grip and those of Western Europe that have
- fearfully armed against it since the end of World War II. Amid
- the rejoicing, however, some cautionary notes are in order. A
- fragmenting giant with an immense nuclear arsenal must be
- carefully watched for signs of instability. That would be
- particularly true if the U.S.S.R. unraveled to a point at which
- a Russian chauvinist republic might control it. Such concerns
- are real, if premature. As William Webster, the director of the
- CIA, testified in Washington last week, it is possible that
- Gorbachev's enemies could one day try to oust him. But for now,
- "those demanding an acceleration of reform still have the upper
- hand."
- </p>
- <p> The epicenter of the Soviet secessionist quake is in the
- Baltic states, which enjoyed 20 years of independence before
- being re-annexed by the Soviet Union in 1940 under a cynical
- deal between Stalin and Hitler. As a result, says Sajudis
- president Vytautas Landsbergis, Lithuania "is not seeking to
- establish independence, but working to restore it." Visiting the
- republic in January, Gorbachev tried to apply the brakes with
- an offer to create a new Soviet federation with increased
- autonomy for all republics. While every republic had a
- constitutional right to leave the Union, he said, a law on
- secession procedures first had to be passed in Moscow. Give
- autonomy a chance, he urged, pointing out, "You have never lived
- in a federation."
- </p>
- <p> Lithuanian leaders denounced Gorbachev's arguments as
- "trickery" and pressed ahead. The republic's Communist Party
- organization had already declared itself independent and moved
- closer to Sajudis in an attempt to build some credibility among
- the voters who now would decide its future. Last month the local
- parliament declared its 1940 accession to the U.S.S.R. "unlawful
- and invalid."
- </p>
- <p> While the Baltics have a special claim to independence,
- visible fault lines have appeared among several republics as
- glasnost allowed the non-Russian peoples to speak their hidden
- thoughts and demokratizatsiya opened the door to new
- organizations and popular movements. National fronts were formed
- in almost every part of the country to advance ethnic,
- linguistic and cultural causes. Marx and Lenin had held that
- life under socialism would submerge such differences in the sea
- of workers' internationalist unity. As has so often been the
- case, Marxist-Leninist theory was wrong.
- </p>
- <p> Unity was enforced and nationalist ambitions suppressed over
- the decades with ruthless coercion by the KGB, supplemented by
- privileges for the local party leaders who carried out Moscow's
- directives. Under Gorbachev, the use of force inside the Soviet
- Union was discouraged, and the party's hidebound patronage
- system came under direct attack. By denouncing the government's
- "command-administrative" methods, Gorbachev hoped to invigorate
- the system and increase its efficiency.
- </p>
- <p> Gorbachev's missile, however, also hit the colonial
- administration that maintained the Soviet empire. Glasnost
- naturally entails talking about past injustices and that has led
- to a new emphasis on ethnic grievances. Local party leaders,
- feeling the heat from Moscow, discovered that they could keep
- a grip on their jobs only by throwing in their lot with the
- nationalist forces in their regions--actually representing
- their constituents' interests in dealing with Moscow. In most
- republics, it has now become good politics for Communist
- officials to shake a fist at the Kremlin.
- </p>
- <p> Once Gorbachev's democratization had lifted the lid,
- fiery-eyed nationalism leaped out. Azerbaijanis and Armenians
- fell upon one another as if centuries of Muslim-Christian
- warfare had never seen a truce. Moscow sent in peacekeeping
- troops, and Azerbaijanis denounced the government, publicly
- burning their red party cards. Soviet forces killed 20
- demonstrators in Georgia. Fueled by anger over chronic
- unemployment, housing shortages and catastrophic damage to the
- environment, a spate of violent riots in Tadzhikistan, Kirghizia
- and Kazakhstan turned anti-Russian. With less bloodshed but
- equal vehemence, national movements in the Ukraine, Moldavia and
- Belorussia are demanding an end to Russian domination. Since
- December 1986, at least 408 people have died in clashes around
- the empire. No fewer than 60 million Soviet citizens live
- outside their home republics, and the ethnic upheavals have made
- 500,000 of them refugees.
- </p>
- <p> Moscow is visibly scrambling to find a way to contain this
- spreading chaos without resorting to repression. Like every
- Soviet leader since Lenin, Gorbachev faced a nationalities
- problem; he simply did not know how to solve it. A special party
- Central Committee meeting on the issue was repeatedly delayed.
- When it finally convened last September, it was evident that the
- postponement had done little good, and Kremlin planners
- continued to underestimate the strength of rising nationalism.
- The policy they put forth was a vague collection of homilies on
- the inadmissibility of secession and the importance of economic
- integration. "Our party," said Gorbachev, "is in favor of a
- large and powerful federal state." While republics should aim
- for "self-management," they should remember their duty to
- develop "the whole country." The tendency toward independence,
- he said, would "have exceedingly negative consequences for those
- who embark on that path."
- </p>
- <p> The Baltic states dismissed Gorbachev's plea. Says Valery
- Chalidze, an exiled dissident and editor: "I think [the Soviet
- leaders] are very far from any clear ideas on what they want in
- any new constitution." Peter Reddaway, senior Soviet specialist
- at George Washington University, agrees: "I don't think
- Gorbachev has any realistic design for a particular type of
- federation. He is under so much pressure from so many problems
- that trying to devise something stable is really hopeless."
- </p>
- <p> In the republican elections that began last December and
- will continue in various parts of the country through June, the
- clearest campaign theme to emerge is the public's rejection of
- Communist Party candidates. Gorbachev hopes to save the Union
- by decreasing the importance of the much hated party and
- enhancing the powers of the central, duly elected government.
- Like an admiral on a sinking warship, he is transferring his
- flag to another vessel.
- </p>
- <p> Though Gorbachev remains head of the party, he is investing
- the office of the President with precisely those powers that he
- hopes will allow him to control the centrifugal forces pulling
- the Soviet Union apart. As chairman of the Defense Council, he
- is already commander in chief of the armed forces. But the new
- law passed last week will formalize the President's control not
- only of the military but also of Interior Ministry troops and
- the KGB. He will appoint and preside over the Cabinet of
- Ministers, declare emergencies and martial law, issue executive
- orders, veto laws and dissolve the legislature. One of the
- debaters who annoyed Gorbachev last week, Sergei Stankevich, a
- liberal Moscow Deputy, said, "We can still feel the great
- totalitarian tradition in this country." The President
- responded, "It has nothing to do with Gorbachev's power. What
- does Gorbachev have to do with it? Life has brought us to this
- point, nothing else."
- </p>
- <p> His meaning was perfectly evident to delegates from the
- rebellious Baltics. They refused to participate in the voting,
- arguing that because they will soon be independent they should
- not take part in creating new Soviet institutions. After the
- session, Gorbachev invited six Baltic delegates to his office
- to explain their position to him. He then told them he stood
- firmly on his plan to create a new federation and would stick
- to it in future negotiations with the Baltic states. Said
- Estonian journalist Tarmu Tammerk: "This was the first time he
- has admitted that Baltic independence is something we can
- legitimately talk about."
- </p>
- <p> Gorbachev's reach for such extraordinary powers prompted
- Lithuanian leaders to advance to March 4 runoff elections in 20
- of the 51 undecided districts. That will enable them to convene
- the new Lithuanian Supreme Soviet before Gorbachev is officially
- invested with his new powers at a Congress of People's Deputies
- session scheduled to begin on March 12. Reflecting on the
- possible threat of martial law, Cekuolis said, "We want to keep
- one jump ahead of Moscow." The republic's president and
- Communist Party chief, Algirdas Brazauskas, called on Moscow to
- begin independence negotiations "in the near future" to
- establish "stable international relations and economic
- cooperation between the U.S.S.R. and Lithuania."
- </p>
- <p> While the Lithuanian parliament has set up a committee to
- draft a declaration of independence, some nationalists favor a
- statement that Lithuania remains a sovereign state that has been
- occupied by the Soviet Union for 50 years. This would establish
- a firm legal basis for the independence decree and also allow
- Lithuanians to claim the republic's property, including 95
- factories that still obey orders from ministries in Moscow.
- Before taking such a step, however, some Sajudis leaders would
- prefer to hold a referendum, in which they estimate about 75%
- would favor independence.
- </p>
- <p> Sajudis officials say they will nationalize those 95
- factories at first, though they intend to sell them to
- Lithuanian buyers later. "We'll simply do the same thing they
- did in Russia 70 years ago," says Leimut Andrikene, a member of
- the government's economic reform committee. Moscow argues for
- a transition period during which accounts would be drawn up to
- provide for compensation, including the bill for the factories.
- But the Lithuanians are putting together a counterclaim, which
- will include costs of property the Soviets seized in 1940. "They
- have been lining their pockets with profits made on Lithuanian
- soil for 50 years," says Andrikene.
- </p>
- <p> In nearby Estonia, the Supreme Soviet recently passed a
- resolution calling for an immediate start on negotiations toward
- re-establishing the republic's independence. But some Estonians
- have come up with an ingenious path to secession. Two weeks ago,
- they held elections for the old 499-member Estonian Congress,
- which claims direct descent from the body that existed before
- the Soviet annexation. Organizers claim that more than 500,000
- people participated--almost 90% of the eligible voters.
- Independence activists are now urging that elections for the
- Estonian Supreme Soviet, scheduled for March 18, be canceled and
- local authority handed over to the Congress.
- </p>
- <p> No matter what avenue the secessionists choose, Gorbachev
- hopes to be ready for them with blocking legislation. As
- promised, he is planning to introduce a bill in the Soviet
- legislature on the right to withdraw from the Union. It will
- require a republic to hold a referendum in which at least
- three-quarters of adults cast ballots and two-thirds of the
- votes cast favor secession. The People's Congress in Moscow
- would then check the results and set a transition period of up
- to five years to settle all "questions arising" and reach
- "corresponding agreements and consents." Clearly, Moscow would
- demand payment for what it considers state property and
- compensation for those groups that want to remain inside the
- Soviet Union.
- </p>
- <p> Gorbachev's plan seems to be to delay the process as long
- as possible to give him time to design a federation that might
- satisfy national sensibilities in most republics. The Baltics
- almost certainly will proceed to independence, but as they
- rightly point out, they are a special case. Their departure
- would not mean they would start a stampede or that Gorbachev
- would fall from power. After Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, most
- speculation has centered on Moldavia, Georgia, the Ukraine and
- the predominantly Muslim Central Asian republics. None of them
- are rushing for the exit at the moment, and none seem likely to
- break away in the near future.
- </p>
- <p> Secessionist sentiment is strong in the western Ukraine,
- which was seized from Poland in 1939, but only moderate in the
- rest of the republic. The Ukrainian national front, Rukh, claims
- several hundred thousand members and widespread support, but
- says it does not favor full independence. Rukh aims for a new
- treaty of union in which the republics would be able to gain
- more control over their own economies--an important point for
- the grain-rich region. The Ukrainian Communist Party is still
- rigidly conservative, and managed to limit Rukh's candidates to
- only about a third of last weekend's races for Supreme Soviet
- seats.
- </p>
- <p> Similarly, in Moldavia the Popular Front, which claims a
- million supporters, demands that the term Soviet Socialist be
- dropped from the republic's name, but has not put separation on
- the agenda. It calls for "sovereignty," presumably inside a new
- Soviet federation. With neighboring Romania in turmoil and
- elections there set for May, talk of unification with the
- Bucharest government has been replaced by a wait-and-see
- attitude.
- </p>
- <p> Georgia, once a kingdom and still fiercely nationalistic,
- might follow the Baltics out of the Union. Its newly revived
- Georgian Social Democratic Party has announced that it will
- enter candidates in the March 25 elections for the Supreme
- Soviet. In spite of the ethnic feuding and anti-Russian feeling
- in the Central Asian republics, however, none of them have
- mounted a significant independence movement. On balance, they
- receive more economic support from Moscow than they contribute
- to the Union. Their real aim is increased state investment, and
- they are worried that the center will order them to operate
- self-sufficiently. In Uzbekistan, for example, says
- Carnegie-Mellon University Professor Nancy Lubin, "the Popular
- Front wants to answer the needs of its own people first, and it
- wants Moscow's help to do it."
- </p>
- <p> Economics cannot be separated from politics, least of all
- in the Soviet Union, and in those terms the republic with most
- of the cards is Russia, officially called the Russian Soviet
- Federative Socialist Republic. With just over half the Soviet
- population, the R.S.F.S.R. produces 63% of the country's
- electricity, 91% of its oil, 75% of its natural gas, 55% of its
- coal, 58% of its steel, 50% of its meat, 48% of its wheat, 85%
- of its paper and 60% of its cement. Its treasury subsidizes
- inefficient industries in all the republics. Siberia supplies
- 3.5 times more raw materials than the rest of the country, and
- most of those are then shipped at below-market prices to other
- republics. The Soviet domestic price for oil, for example, is
- less than half the world price. Encountering world-market prices
- will be a rude awakening for the Balts, who have few significant
- natural resources. That prospect is not likely to deter such
- ardent nationalists, but it could have a chilling effect on some
- of the other republics.
- </p>
- <p> If Gorbachev succeeds in holding most of the country
- together for a while, he still faces the task of designing a
- workable new relationship. The lackluster party platform on
- nationalities and federation that was approved at last month's
- Central Committee meeting will be presented this summer to the
- 28th Party Congress. It calls for a federation of "free and
- equal republics, voluntarily delegating part of their rights to
- the Union in order to attain common goals." The wording is vague
- enough to suggest everything from an acceptance of separate
- republican flags to noncommunist governments. Foreign Minister
- Eduard Shevardnadze, a Georgian, put it more clearly last month
- when he said, "If we want to preserve our commonwealth of
- fraternal peoples, then we must reconstitute it as a treaty
- union of genuinely sovereign states."
- </p>
- <p> If that is what the Kremlin means, it will have to say so.
- Thus far, its plan talks of "economic independence" for the
- republics, but also insists on "the center operating at the
- macro level." Does this imply a federation, with a central
- government? A confederation, with no central authority? An
- economic community? Gorbachev will have to decide whether he
- favors revising the present Union through legislation or
- dismantling the whole Soviet structure by writing a new
- constitution. He has taken for himself the chairmanship of the
- congress's Constitutional Commission and set a one-year deadline
- for drafting a new document. He told the Central Committee last
- month that the sooner decisions are made to define "the
- competence of the Union and that of republics," the sooner
- everyone will see "the enormous advantages of the new
- federation."
- </p>
- <p> Does he have a year? Paul Goble, deputy director of research
- at Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty, argues that if Gorbachev
- still intends to follow the path of perestroika and
- demokratizatsiya, he will have to allow the Baltics to break
- away by Christmas and possibly Moldavia not long thereafter.
- Some experts, such as Francois Heisbourg, director of the
- London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies,
- believe Gorbachev will use military force as a last resort to
- hold things together. Western intelligence officers, however,
- say the army has intervened very reluctantly in ethnic conflicts
- in the Caucasus and Central Asia and will not do so
- indefinitely.
- </p>
- <p> Russians do not indicate that they are determined to hold
- on to the empire at all costs. Indeed, the costs of the empire,
- rather than its glory, seem uppermost in their minds. Both
- Gorbachev and Shevardnadze have assured President Bush that
- Moscow will not use force against the Baltic states. A senior
- Soviet diplomat says of the Baltics, "Of course they can choose
- independence. But the laws have to be observed, and they must
- keep in mind that they will have to pay a heavy economic price."
- In Paris last month, Gorbachev's adviser Andrei Grachev said if
- Lithuanians cannot be convinced that it is in their interest to
- remain in a new federation, "they make the decision, and no one
- can prevent them from fulfilling it." Says the Carnegie
- Endowment's Dimitri Simes: "During the Civil War, there were
- strong imperial patriots who made keeping the country together
- their highest priority. Now I do not see any strong constituency
- for maintaining the empire with blood and violence."
- </p>
- <p> Thus it is possible that the Baltic leaders racing so
- anxiously to independence are hurrying unnecessarily. Gorbachev
- could have entirely different crackdowns in mind as he gathers
- in his new powers to declare emergencies and maintains them "to
- defend the interests and security of the U.S.S.R." It is the
- decay of the center rather than the demands of the periphery
- that is most threatening to his reforms. His biggest immediate
- problem is likely to be the millions of Soviet citizens who are
- sick of communism, angry at the government, in despair at their
- living conditions--and have no plans to leave the country.
- </p>
- <p> But there is also no doubt that at some point soon--a few
- months from now, perhaps a year, who can say for sure?--the
- world's largest country will begin to contract. As future
- historians contemplate the Soviet Empire of the 20th century,
- they may wonder not why it collapsed but how it lasted so long.
- </p>
- <p>-- Reported by Paul Hofheinz/Vilnius, John Kohan/
- Moscow and J.F.O. McAllister/Washington
- </p>
- <p>THE 15 REPUBLICS OF THE SOVIET UNION:
- </p>
- <p>[The U.S.S.R. is the largest country in the world with an area
- of 8.6 million sq. mi. It covers one-sixth of the earth's land
- and extends over eleven time zones.]
- </p>
- <p> ARMENIA
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1936. Capital: Yerevan.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 3.3 million; 90% Armenian, 5% Azerbaijanis, 2%
- Russians, 2% Kurds.
- </p>
- <p> Converted to Christianity in 301 and incorporated into the
- Russian empire in 1828, the Armenians are embroiled in a blood
- feud with their neighbors in mainly Muslim Azerbaijan. Violence
- broke out in 1988 when the Armenian enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh
- voted to secede from Azerbaijan. Since last summer Azerbaijanis
- have blockaded Armenia's major rail links, devastating the
- local economy. Fighting still erupts sporadically along their
- common border. Surrounded by hostility and fearful of its
- enemies in Turkey, Armenia looks to Moscow for protection;
- theus, few of its nationalist organizations seek independence.
- </p>
- <p> AZERBAIJAN
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1936. Capital: Baku.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 7.0 million; 78% Azerbaijanis, 8% Armenians, 8%
- Russians.
- </p>
- <p> Azerbaijani nationalists have become secessionist and
- expansionist, dreaming of a greater state to include ethnic kin
- in Iran. Gorbachev is worried that Islamic fundamentalism will
- rise among Shi`ite Azerbaijanis, but Tehran seems equally
- nervous about their intentions. In January rioters tore down
- barriers along hundreds of miles of the border with Iran.
- Anti-Armenian progoms in Baku and a probable takeover by the
- unofficial Azerbaijan Popular Front forced Moscow to intervene.
- Some 17,000 troops have restored order but increased anti-Soviet
- feelings. All Armenians have departed, and many Russians are
- fleeing the republic.
- </p>
- <p> BELORUSSIA
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1922. Capital: Minsk.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 10.2 million; 79% Belorussian, 12% Russian, 4%
- Poles, 2% Ukrainians.
- </p>
- <p> This Slavic republic's Communist Party is under heavy
- criticism from a 100,000 member popular front, Adradzhen`ne
- (Renewal). In its manifesto in December the group charged, "Our
- status is that of a semicolony that supplies the center." The
- group denounces Moscow's cover-up of the 1987 Chernobyl nuclear
- accident and its slow cleanup and repair of the widespread
- ecological damage. Adradzhen`ne also demands the right to hold
- private property and the abolition of the Communist monopoly on
- political power. In elections last year, the front's campaigners
- helped defeat several party bosses.
- </p>
- <p> ESTONIA
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1940. Capital: Tallinn.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 1.6 million; 65% Estonians, 28% Russians, 3%
- Ukrainians, 2% Belorussians.
- </p>
- <p> Estonians are already creating their own monetary and
- economic-planning systems. Russian residents have mounted
- protest strikes, but last month the republic's legislature
- called for talks with Moscow on the "restoration" of Estonia's
- independence. The originial Popular Front, which began the drive
- toward independence, is losing ground to the year-old Citizens'
- Committee, which aims to recreate the old interwar republic and
- is inviting overseas emigrants to return. Local elections March
- 18 will bring more separatists to power and increase
- secessionist pressure.
- </p>
- <p> GEORGIA
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1936. Capital: Tbilisi.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 5.4 million; 69% Georgians, 9% Armenians, 7%
- Russians, 5% Azerbaijanis, 3% Ossetians, 2% Abkhazians.
- </p>
- <p> A proud and ancient Christian people, Georgians were boldly
- nationalistic ever under Khrushchev. They have supported the
- Baltics in demanding the right to secede. Opposition to the
- government is divided among a dozen groups organzied along
- ethnic and generational lines. Interethnic fighting is frequent.
- Abkhazians and Ossetians complain of repression by Georgian
- nationalists. A year ago Soviet troops killed 20 demonstrators
- in Tbilisi, and relations with Moscow remain tense. Georgia will
- not be the first republic to leave the Soviet Union, but it
- could follow others.
- </p>
- <p> KAZAKHSTAN
- </p>
- <p> Established as separate republic: 1936. Capital: Alma-Ata.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 16.6 million; 41% Russians, 36% Kazakhs, 6%
- Ukrainians, 2% Tatars.
- </p>
- <p> A coalition of groups, including Adilet (Justice) and
- several environmental associations, make up the fledgling
- national movement. They played a large role in persuading Moscow
- to suspend nuclear- weapons tests at Semipalatinsk. Adilet
- emerged from an organization dedicated to the rehabilitation of
- Stalin's victims. It was the first republic swept by ethnic
- violence after Gorbachev began his reforms; anti-Russian riots
- in Alma-Ata in 1986 claimed at least three lives. Last summer
- gangs of youths attakced migrant workers from the Caucasus.
- </p>
- <p> KIRGHIZIA
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1936. Capital: Frunze.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 4.3 million; 48% Kirghiz, 26% Russians, 12%
- Uzbeks, 3% Ukrainians, 2% Tatars.
- </p>
- <p> The burgeoning popular movement Ashar has been pressing for
- increased economic autonomy, but reforms have not taken hold.
- The local Communist Party organization is conservative,
- rejecting rapid change and striving to keep Ashar from
- developing into a full-blown national movement. Familiar
- complaints of a housing shortage and unemployment are adding
- recruits to the front. In recent weeks protests have turned into
- riots in the capital, Frunze. Last July Kirghiz and Tadzhik
- villagers battled on their border over land and water rights,
- leaving one dead. The local militia had to be called out to keep
- the peace.
- </p>
- <p> LATVIA
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1940. Capital: Riga.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 2.7 million; 54% Latvians, 33% Russians, 5%
- Belorussians, 3% Ukrainians, 3% Poles.
- </p>
- <p> In spite of a very large Russian minority, Latvia has moved
- almost as fast as the other Baltic states in seeking to secede.
- The Latvian Popular Front was the first to call for full
- independence. The republic's Supreme Soviet joined in that
- demand last month by a 177-to-48 vote. It has also deleted
- Article Six, which gave the Communist Party a political
- monopoly, from its constitution. In recent local elections about
- 75% of the more than 14,000 seats at stake went to
- pro-independence candidates. The Latvian Communist Party has not
- yet cut its ties with Moscow but may do so in the near future.
- </p>
- <p> LITHUANIA
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1940. Capital: Vilnius.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 3.7 million; 80% Lithuanians, 9% Russians, 8%
- Poles, 2% Belorussians.
- </p>
- <p> The leader of the Baltic drive for independence, Lithuania
- has ignored pleas from Gorbachev to slow its pace. With 80% of
- its population Lithuanian, it is the most ethnically homogeneous
- of the Baltics. Its Communist Party has already split from
- Moscow headquarters and is cooperating with Sajudis, the
- nationalist movement. As a result, party support in the polls
- has risen from 16% to 73%. Encouraged by Moscow, some Russians
- living in the republic have formed an anti-independence group
- called Interfront, and ethnic Poles are also displaying anxiety.
- After major gains in local elections, the separatist majority
- is expected to begin formal action toward sucession this year.
- </p>
- <p> MOLDAVIA
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1940. Capital: Kishinev.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 4.3 million; 64% Moldavians, 14% Ukrainians, 13%
- Russians, 4% Gagauzi, 2% Jews.
- </p>
- <p> Most of this republic was formerly part of Romania, and it
- has been inching back toward Bucharest. A new law makes
- Moldavian the official language. Originally a cultural group,
- the Moldavian Popular Front has evolved into a nationalist
- movement that eventually is expected to favor unification with
- Romania. Demonstrators disrupted anniversary celebrations last
- Nov. 7, and many were arrested. The crackdown led to more
- protests, and the Communist Party leadership in Kishinev was
- replaced. Resident Russians have countered by forming their own
- organization, Interdvezheniye, which opposes Moldavian demands
- for sucession.
- </p>
- <p> RUSSIAN S.F.S.R.
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1922. Capital: Moscow.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 147 million; 83% Russians, 4% Tatars, 3%
- Ukrainians.
- </p>
- <p> Traditionally pessimistic, Great Russians were slow to take
- Gorbachev's glasnost seriously. Now, galvanized by anti-Russian
- campaigns in the Baltics and Moldavia, they are organizing
- politically. Popular outrage at corruption has forced out the
- Communist Party committees in several cities. Siberian
- environmentalists accuse Moscow of ignoring their needs while
- exploiting their lands. Some new Russian groups are democratic,
- but others are retrograde: the nationalistic Pamyat is openly
- anti-Semitic; and the United Workers' Front opposes
- market-oriented reforms.
- </p>
- <p> TADZHIKISTAN
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1929. Capital: Dushanbe.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 5.1 million; 59% Tadzhiks, 23% Uzbeks, 10%
- Russians.
- </p>
- <p> The smallest of the Central Asian republics, Tadzhikistan
- was also the quietest until last month's riots in Dushanbe,
- triggered by rumors that Armenian refugees from Azerbaijan would
- receive preferential treatment in housing. Russians were
- attacked on the streets, and Moscow claimed Muslim gangs were
- bringing arms across the border from Afghanistan. The nascent
- opposition group Rastakhiz (Renaissance) has protested the
- number of Communist officials nominated to run in local
- elections. Discontent is being fueled by chronic unemployment
- and shortages.
- </p>
- <p> TURKMENISTAN
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1925. Capital:
- Ashkhabad.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 3.5 million; 68% Turkmen, 13% Russians, 9%
- Uzbeks, 3% Kazakhs.
- </p>
- <p> This is the Soviet Union's calmest republic. No national
- movement has arisen, and democratization has taken only
- tentative steps. In December the local supreme soviet was
- offered a choice of three candidates for prime minister, and the
- following month the party allowed more than one official to run
- for the post of agriculture secretary. Some in Ashkhabad have
- suggested recalling the republic's entire parliamentary
- delegation from Moscow because of its passivity.
- </p>
- <p> UKRAINE
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1922. Capital: Kiev.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 51.7 million; 74% Ukrainians, 21% Russians, 1%
- Jews.
- </p>
- <p> Nationalist opposition in this largest non-Russian republic
- is led by Rukh, a coalition of Communists and non-Communists
- organized in September. The group, which claims several hundred
- thousand members, is fighting for economic autonomy, political
- pluralism and more freedom to use the Ukrainian language. In
- late January Rukh organized a human chain 311 miles long from
- Kiev to Lvov, testifying to the strength of the discontented.
- Demonstrations calling for the resignation of party officials
- have been mounted in several cities. Much resentment centers on
- Moscow's mishandling of the 1987 Chernobyl nuclear disaster. So
- far, the opposition has not raised the banner of independence.
- </p>
- <p> UZBEKISTAN
- </p>
- <p> Established as a separate republic: 1925. Capital: Tashkent.
- </p>
- <p> Population: 19.9 million; 69% Uzbeks, 11% Russians, 4%
- Tatars, 4% Kazakhs, 4% Tadzhiks.
- </p>
- <p> The main nationalist movement, Birlik (Unity), claims up to
- half a million members. Its causes are the protection of the
- environment, the Uzbek language and culture, and Muslim
- religious freedom. A special concern has been the pollution
- caused in cotton-growing areas by pesticides and overfarming
- ordered by Moscow. Corruption is a tradition: last year a former
- prime minister was sentenced to nine years in a labor camp for
- bribery and a president of the republic was fired for similar
- offenses. Conflict in the republic is mainly ethnic; last June
- Uzbeki attacks on the relatively more prosperous Meskhetian
- Turks resulted in 99 deaths.
- </p>
- <p>MOSAIC OF PEOPLES
- </p>
- <p> Of a population of 289 million, 12 ethnic groups account
- for 89%:
- </p>
- <qt>
- <l>Russians 51%</l>
- <l>Ukrainians 15%</l>
- <l>Uzbeks 6%</l>
- <l>Belorussians 4%</l>
- <l>Kazakhs 3%</l>
- <l>Azerbaijanis 2%</l>
- <l>Tatars 2%</l>
- <l>Armenians 2%</l>
- <l>Tadzhiks 1%</l>
- <l>Georgians 1%</l>
- <l>Moldavians 1%</l>
- <l>Lithuanians 1%</l>
- </qt>
- <p> Of the remaining 11%, no group is greater than 1% of the
- total:
- </p>
- <p> Turkmen, Kirghiz, Germans, Chuvashes, Latvians, Bashkirs,
- Jews, Mordvins, Poles, Estonians, Chechens, Udmurts, Maris,
- Avars, Ossetians, Komis, Komi-Permiaks, Koreans, Karakalpaks,
- Buryats, Kabardins, Yakuts, Bulgarians, Darghins, Greeks,
- Kumyks, Uighurs, Gypsies, Ingush, Turks, Tuvins, Gagauzi,
- Kalmucks, Hungarians, Karachai, Kurds, Romanians, Karelians,
- Adygei, Lakhs, Abkhazians, Tabasarans, Balkars, Khalkhas, Nogai,
- Altaics, Tungans, Finns, Circassians, Iranians, Abazi, Tats,
- Baluchis, Assyrians, Talyshins, Rutals, Tsakhurs, Aguls, Shors,
- Czechs, Veps, Arabs, Chinese, Slovaks, Afghans, Udins,
- Khalkha-Monoglians, Albanians, Serbs, Karaim, Krymchaks,
- Croatians, Izhor.
- </p>
- <p>PRODUCTION LINE: [% from each republic]
- </p>
- <qt>
- <l>BEEF--48% Russian S.F.S.R., 24% Ukraine,</l>
- <l>8% Kazakhstan, 6% Belorussia.</l>
- </qt>
- <p> COAL--55% Russian S.F.S.R., 25% Ukraine, 19% Kazakhstan.
- </p>
- <p> CORN--56% Ukraine, 26% Russian S.F.S.R., 5% Moldavia.
- </p>
- <qt>
- <l>COTTON--60% Uzbekistan, 16% Turkmenistan,</l>
- <l>11% Tadzhikistan, 9% Azerbaijan;</l>
- <l>4% Kazakhstan.</l>
- </qt>
- <qt>
- <l>GAS--75% Russian S.F.S.R., 12% Turkmenistan,</l>
- <l>6% Uzbekistan, 5% Ukraine.</l>
- </qt>
- <qt>
- <l>MOTORS--32% Ukraine, 23% Russian S.F.S.R.,</l>
- <l>13% Belorussia, 11% Armenia.</l>
- </qt>
- <qt>
- <l>POULTRY--55% Russian S.F.S.R., 22% Ukraine,</l>
- <l>6% Kazakhstan, 4% Belorussia.</l>
- </qt>
- <qt>
- <l>REFRIGERATORS--57% Russian S.F.S.R., 12% Ukraine,</l>
- <l>11% Belorussia, 6% Azerbaijan,</l>
- <l>6% Lithuania.</l>
- </qt>
- <qt>
- <l>TELEVISIONS--46% Russian S.F.S.R., 34% Ukraine,</l>
- <l>12% Belorussia, 7% Lithuania.</l>
- </qt>
- <p> WHEAT--48% Russian S.F.S.R., 25% Ukraine, 21% Kazakhstan.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
-
-