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TIME: Almanac 1990s
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<text id=94TT0451>
<title>
Apr. 25, 1994: A Little Bombing Is A Dangerous Thing
</title>
<history>
TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1994
Apr. 25, 1994 Hope in the War against Cancer
</history>
<article>
<source>Time Magazine</source>
<hdr>
BOSNIA, Page 47
A Little Bombing Is A Dangerous Thing
</hdr>
<body>
<p>Despite NATO raids, the Serbs tighten their vise around Gorazde,
confounding Clinton and his allies
</p>
<p>By Bruce W. Nelan--Reported by Sally B. Donnelly/Moscow, James L. Graff/Vienna,
J.F.O. McAllister/Washington and Chris Stephen/Sarajevo
</p>
<p> As each day passed, the designation of Gorazde as a U.N.-sanctioned
"safe area" seemed increasingly like a cruel joke. Two rounds
of NATO air strikes early in the week had done little to ease
the Serbs' tightening vise around the besieged Muslim enclave
on the Drina River. By Friday, Serb forces had moved artillery
and armored vehicles into the surrounding hills and pounded
away at the city of 65,000 civilians with howitzers, mortars
and tank cannons. On Saturday afternoon, as Bosnian radio reported
fretfully that tanks were rolling through Gorazde and firing
into residential areas, NATO dispatched six planes to search
for a Serb tank lobbing shells into Gorazde from the city's
outskirts. Bad weather forced the planes back, but not before
a surface-to-air missile launched by the Serbs downed a British
Sea Harrier jet. The pilot parachuted to safety in a Bosnian
village, but the episode only escalated the tensions. Would
NATO step up air strikes? Would the Serbs make good on their
vow to take the city by dusk?
</p>
<p> As darkness settled on Gorazde, neither scenario came to pass.
Instead, Yasushi Akashi, the U.N.'s chief civilian representative
in Bosnia, suddenly announced that he was close to signing a
pact with the Serbs. According to Akashi, the U.N. would stop
combat air patrols above Gorazde if the Serbs agreed to a cease-fire
and released U.N. personnel held across Bosnia beginning last
Monday. The Serbs must also withdraw to the outskirts of Gorazde
and allow a multinational U.N. protection force to police the
front lines around the city. The deal, brokered with the help
of Russian mediator Vitali Churkin, offered face-saving possibilities
for all parties. But given Serb proclamations just hours earlier
that they intended to take Gorazde, and the ease with which
cease-fires come and go in Bosnia, hopes were slim that the
accord would actually hold.
</p>
<p> After two years of anguished but feckless soul searching by
NATO about its proper role in the Bosnia mess, the organization's
halfhearted display of military muscle in the skies over Gorazde
did little to enhance its reputation. On Saturday, before the
tentative agreement with the Serbs was announced, six former
U.S. officials, among them former National Security Adviser
Zbigniew Brzezinski and former Defense Secretary Frank Carlucci,
blasted Bill Clinton for a "posture of moral and political abdication,"
and called for further NATO air action. And barely hours before
Akashi released word of the accord, he issued a statement calling
a halt to the U.N.'s Gorazde venture. "I believe it would be
meaningless in present circumstances for ((the U.N. peacekeeping
force)) to fulfill its activities in Bosnia and Herzegovina,"
he said. A U.N. official in Zagreb made the point more forcefully:
"Either we close up shop or we come back with a huge army."
</p>
<p> The confusion in Bosnia--on the battlefield as well as in
diplomatic quarters--did little to help the Administration
think out an effective policy. After two U.N. peacekeepers were
injured on Friday, the U.N. military commander in Bosnia, Lieut.
General Sir Michael Rose, suggested further air strikes to enable
his military observers to withdraw from the battlefield. But
Akashi, who was in the Bosnian Serb headquarters in Pale trying
to resuscitate negotiations, was not willing to approve the
request. The next day when the Serbs began encircling Gorazde,
Rose and Akashi called for "fairly robust air cover," according
to a senior White House official. When a Serb tank fired on
a hospital, injuring several people, Rose and Akashi upped their
request to "close air support." But when NATO aircraft went
in search of targets, bad weather forced the planes to fly low,
which in turn resulted in the downing of the British jet.
</p>
<p> When the Clinton Administration had quietly encouraged limited
strikes on the Gorazde perimeter earlier in the week, it had
several aims in mind. It was trying to rob the Serbs of another
battlefield victory, inject new life into stalled peace negotiations
and redeem its own recent bumbling performance, when senior
officials publicly contradicted each other about the prospect
of air strikes. While the bombings were technically NATO operations
in response to a request to protect U.N. peacekeeping troops,
in practice the attacks were a U.S. experiment: an attempt to
use limited military force to end the fighting in Bosnia. But
the result was inconclusive, with the Serbs still in a position
to fight on, and Washington appearing unable to punish the Serbs,
no matter how blatant the provocation.
</p>
<p> Moreover, the long-threatened NATO air strikes had hardly been
models of military precision. In misty weather, embattled U.N.
peacekeepers called for fighter-bombers to hit Serbian tanks
that were firing into Gorazde. Two U.S. Air Force F-16s swept
in and dropped three 500-lb. bombs on some tents. The following
day, as shells continued to pound Gorazde, two Marine F/A-18s
tried to drop four bombs on the Serbs. One bomb remained stuck
in its rack; two hit the ground but failed to explode. The planes
swooped down in the wake of the bomb that did blow up and strafed
Serb positions with cannon fire, wrecking three military vehicles.
</p>
<p> In the two-year Bosnian war that has resulted in 200,000 people
dead or missing, those four U.S. bombs were a military pinprick.
Politically, however, they shook the ground in all directions--for a few days. As Bosnia lay relatively quiet, Washington
took pride in its muscle flexing. "Every time we have been firm,"
said Clinton, "it has been a winner for the peace process."
The Bosnian Serbs, who denounced the strikes as an intervention
in support of the Muslims they are trying to crush, broke off
contact with the U.N., charging that it had chosen sides.
</p>
<p> The Serbs did not immediately retaliate by killing peacekeeping
troops, as NATO had feared, but at least two were wounded--and one subsequently died--in the continued fighting. Serbs
abducted some blue helmets at gunpoint and held hostage more
than 200 U.N. soldiers and civilians. They surrounded several
artillery depots around Sarajevo and on Saturday reportedly
seized heavy weapons sequestered by peacekeepers.
</p>
<p> The aerial bombings early in the week also miffed Moscow. "Air
strikes," snapped President Boris Yeltsin, "must not be decided
without preliminary consultations between the U.S. and Russia."
Some of that rhetoric was intended to pacify the nationalists
at home who still see the Serbs as Russia's traditional allies.
But Moscow surprised many by its willingness to spread some
of the blame this time to the Serbs. "They told us that nothing
was happening and that they had no military plans involving
Gorazde," said Churkin. "We have certain complaints against
the Bosnian Serbs." On Saturday, Russian Foreign Minister Andrei
Kozyrev, who had been consulting with Secretary of State Warren
Christopher, arrived in Belgrade, which no doubt played a hand
in the Serbs' sudden willingness to initial the agreement.
</p>
<p> The Bosnian government remained wary that the lines of a military
standstill might solidify into national boundaries, leaving
the Serbs holding the 70% of the country they occupy now. "If
we proclaim a cease-fire without time limits," said Mufid Memija,
an adviser to Bosnian President Alija Izetbegovic, "it is a
recognition of occupation." He may be right. "We are going to
keep putting pressure on the Bosnian government to agree to
a cease-fire in place and say it doesn't determine the final
boundaries," a U.S. official admits. "But in effect it probably
will."
</p>
</body>
</article>
</text>