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- THE WEEK, Page 22WORLDItching for a Fight
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- Saddam snubs U.N. arms inspectors and now may face an ultimatum
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- Patience may have finally run out. The U.N. inspection team
- that had been parked round the clock outside Iraq's Agriculture
- Ministry for 17 days, waiting to search for missile documents
- believed to be stashed inside, abandoned its mission. Faced with
- menacing mob demonstrations that included peltings with eggs and
- tomatoes, tire slashings and an attempted assault with a skewer,
- the inspectors retreated, empty-handed.
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- The sudden withdrawal immediately prompted an angry
- exchange of threats between Washington and Baghdad and frantic
- negotiations at U.N. headquarters in New York City to seek Iraqi
- compliance. By week's end the U.S., Britain and other allies
- were careering toward another showdown with Iraq. Shore leave
- in the Mediterranean for crew members of the aircraft carrier
- Saratoga was canceled, President Bush met with top defense
- advisers, and officials in several Western capitals huddled to
- phrase an ultimatum.
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- Western analysts are worried that Saddam Hussein, recently
- reported to have put down a revolt of his own senior officers,
- is itching to pick a fight with the outside world to prove he's
- in control despite the debilitating international embargo and
- the presence of the U.N. arms inspectors. He has defied demands
- for information on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction, refused
- to renew an agreement allowing relief workers to operate in
- Iraq, spurned a U.N. deal that would allow him to sell $1.6
- billion in oil to finance food and humanitarian aid, and
- rejected a new U.N.-demarcated border with Kuwait. He has even
- stepped up operations against Shi`ite Muslim rebels in the
- south. In Kurdish-controlled areas of northern Iraq, gun,
- grenade and car-bomb attacks have targeted U.N. guards, one of
- whom was killed. Saddam blames the Kurds, but the U.N. rejects
- that claim and says he is responsible for protecting its
- personnel in any case.
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- Saddam's taunts are aimed at eroding the coalition's
- resolve. But Western officials insist they are having the
- opposite effect. They say Saddam's gamble that Europe is too
- distracted by the Yugoslav quagmire and President Bush too
- immobilized by his tough re-election fight to risk military
- action is a grave miscalculation. "If Saddam does not quickly
- comply with U.N. demands," says a senior British diplomat, "an
- attack is almost certainly on. We are not going to wait long."
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